As you get quotes and view summaries for contracts, you will
encounter the term
Weather Index. The Weather
Index is a single number that is used to determine the payout
of a contract. For Basic Contracts, the Weather Index is the
total number of hot, cold, rainy, or dry days that occur during
your contract period.
The Weather Index is calculated by applying a simple
mathematical
Operation to the Daily Values. There are
four choices for this operation. They are:
Sum:
When "Sum" is chosen as the Operation, the Weather Index
is the sum of all the Daily Values. In some contract types (such as Rainy
Day, Cold Day or Snow Day contracts) this means we add up the total
number of days that the temperature crosses the threshold you select
(such as 0.25 inches or 20 degrees). That number is the Weather Index.
In other contract types (such as Dry Season, or Cold Season), instead of
calculating the sum of all days, the Weather Index
is the total number of inches (for precipitation or snow) or degrees
throughout the entire contract period. This type of contract is particularly
helpful for those in the agricultural industry or other industries whose
weather sensitivity spans across multiple days.
Average:
When "Average" is chosen as the Operation, the Weather Index
is the average of all of the Daily Values. For example, the Weather Index
might be the average amount by which the daily maximum temperature exceeds
60°, or the average daily rainfall during the
contract period.
Maximum:
When "Maximum" is chosen as the Operation, the Weather Index
is the maximum of all of the Daily Values. For example, the Weather Index
might be the largest amount that the daily minimum temperature goes below
32°, or the largest amount of rainfall in a single
day during the contract period.
Minimum:
When "Minimum" is chosen as the Operation, the Weather Index
is the minimum of all of the Daily Values. For example, the Weather Index
might be the smallest amount by which the daily maximum temperature exceeds
40°, or the smallest amount of rainfall in a single
day during the contract period. If any of the Daily Values
are
0 and the minimum operation is chosen, the Weather
Index will be
0 as well.
Note that "Sum" is the only permitted operation for contracts
whose Daily Values are always all
1's and
0's
(See the
Daily Values section for more).
Examples:
To show how different choices for the Daily Values and the
Operation result in different values for the Weather Index,
here are a few examples: Let's consider a five day contract
based on daily average
temperature, with a Daily Value Threshold of
60°,
where the measurements recorded during the contract dates
were
53°,
58°,
60°,
64°, and
55°.
Daily Value: 1 if measurement above threshold, 0 if below
.
Operation: Sum.
In this case, the Daily Values are
1 if the temperature
is over
60°, and
0 otherwise. The Daily Values
would then be
0,0,0,1,0. The Weather Index is the sum of
the Daily Values, or
1.
Daily Value: 1 if measurement at or below threshold, 0 if
above
.
Operation: Sum.
In this case, the Daily Values are
1 if the temperature
is equal to or below
60°, and
0 otherwise.
The Daily Values would then be
1,1,1,0,1. The Weather
Index is the sum of the Daily Values, or
4.
Daily Value: Measurement above threshold.
Operation: Average
In this case, the Daily Values are the amount by which the
measurements exceed
60°. If a measurement is below
60°, its daily value is
0. The Daily Values
would then be
0,0,0,4,0. The Weather Index is
the average of these five numbers, which is
0.8.
Daily Value: Measurement below threshold.
Operation: Sum
In this case, the Daily Values are the amount by which the
measurements fall below
60°. If a measurement exceeds
60°, its daily value is
0. The Daily Values
would then be
7,2,0,0,5. The Weather Index is the sum of
these numbers, which is
14.
Daily Value: Measurement above threshold.
Operation: Minimum
In this case, the Daily Values are the amount by which the
measurements exceed
60°. If a measurement is below
60°, its daily value is
0. The Daily Values
would then be
0,0,0,4,0. The Weather Index is the minimum
of these numbers, which is
0.
Daily Value: Measurement below threshold
Operation: Maximum
In this case, the Daily Values are the amount by which the
measurements fall below
60°. If a measurement exceeds
60°, its daily value is
0. The Daily Values
would then be
7,2,0,0,5. The Weather Index is
the maximum of these numbers, which is
7.